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Coronavirus

Discussion in 'Australia' started by Ferraridoc, Mar 21, 2020.

  1. Ferraridoc

    Ferraridoc F1 Veteran
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    Jun 20, 2012
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    Well, there's a delay between what intervention measures you take, and the effect on the numbers. If we can keep the curve flat, then there won't be a surge in cases which could overload acute bed capacity. If it comes back to zero, then we risk a rebound if restrictions are relaxed to much. It's too late for eradication, so we need to keep the disease spread slow enough that the system can cope with it. I suspect that if the numbers drop off steeply, they'll relax restrictions a bit to keep a steady stream of new cases, with no sudden peaks. The same amount of people will become infected, the same percentage of those cases will need hospitalisation, and the same smaller percentage will need ICU support. If we keep the numbers low enough so that the numbers needing ICU are less than the ICU capacity, then slightly less people will die.
     
  2. FazzerPorscheman

    FazzerPorscheman F1 World Champ

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    Probably not.
     
  3. FazzerPorscheman

    FazzerPorscheman F1 World Champ

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    Can we have a photograph replace Moretti and his bra ministrations please.

    It’s doing my head in imagining Moretti and anything to do with a woman.
     
  4. Horse

    Horse Two Time F1 World Champ
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  5. kerrari

    kerrari F1 World Champ
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    It occurred to me last night that in future scenarios we need to act in the reverse of what we have done ie, rather than waiting to see if it would get to Australia, slam the airports and ports closed as quickly as possible, quarantine all returnees and arrivals, and go into full lockdown for 7 days THEN if it testing of all arrivals shows no infection start winding back the restrictions. Would result in a much faster return to normal IMHO.
     
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  6. Maranello550

    Maranello550 F1 Veteran
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    Hind sight is a wonderful thing Karen....I think the economy is a little more complicated than just shutting everything down overnight...Especially with some of the young idiots we have in this country...
     
  7. moretti

    moretti Four Time F1 World Champ
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  8. Maranello550

    Maranello550 F1 Veteran
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    Ferraridoc and greg246 like this.
  9. IanB

    IanB F1 World Champ
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    Jun 15, 2006
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    The police arrested two suspicious men in a car park today.

    One was drinking battery acid and the other was eating fireworks.

    They charged one and let the other one off’
     
  10. simon klein

    simon klein F1 World Champ
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    Sorry Pat and Steve....as of 10.45 today.
    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-04-07/sa-records-first-coronavirus-death/12128054
     
  11. Ferraridoc

    Ferraridoc F1 Veteran
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    The problem with that is we never know until it's too late. This is a once in a hundred years event - do we shut the door every time there's an Asian epidemic?
     
  12. Horse

    Horse Two Time F1 World Champ
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    Bored?


    Sent from my iPhone using FerrariChat
     
  13. simon klein

    simon klein F1 World Champ
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    Very,very board.....what about you?
     
  14. Horse

    Horse Two Time F1 World Champ
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    No, only because I have so many jobs at home!






    And a new puppy.



    . View attachment 2920036

    Sent from my iPhone using FerrariChat
     
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  15. kerrari

    kerrari F1 World Champ
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    Agreed, but hindsight can also be characterised as 'learning from our mistakes'... send the idiots to the naughty corner as a START.
     
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  16. kerrari

    kerrari F1 World Champ
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    ANY epidemic - remember what happened with Hendra virus? That was 'easy' because it was reasonably apparent that the transmitter was horses and the horse industry was a neat and easy shutdown - problem solved except for the 7/10 (or thereabouts, haven't looked it up today) who died. Any 'novel' virus needs to be treated as deadly until proven otherwise, it would seem.
     
  17. Maranello550

    Maranello550 F1 Veteran
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  18. Gizzi

    Gizzi F1 Rookie
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    You should keep those for the GG.
    Did I tell you about the pool I got built......


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
     
  19. Ferraridoc

    Ferraridoc F1 Veteran
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    OK, the numbers as at 6pm today. Total cases: 5,910. Total deaths: 48 (0.81%). New cases today: 110, which is 3 higher than yesterday. And some further information so that some of you don't get uncomfortable in the pants region, the total cases can be broken down into: Active cases: 3361, recovered cases: 2501, and deaths: 48.
     
  20. Aircon

    Aircon Eight Time F1 World Champ

    Jun 23, 2003
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    Oh gosh....how have we gone from 0.4 to 0.8?

    The mind boggles
     
  21. Ferraridoc

    Ferraridoc F1 Veteran
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    I've already explained this, and it isn't hard to boggle your mind.
     
  22. Aircon

    Aircon Eight Time F1 World Champ

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    Yes....I pointed out your error....you went away, thought about it, figured it out and came back with a ridiculous story to justify yourself. Nice work.
     
  23. 575

    575 F1 Rookie
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  24. Ferraridoc

    Ferraridoc F1 Veteran
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    Bugger me, you still don't get it. Just give up.
     
  25. Aircon

    Aircon Eight Time F1 World Champ

    Jun 23, 2003
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    No.... You don't get it.... Not since day one. Sounds like you never will

    It's ok.... Don't be hard on yourself. You're a doctor, not a statistician.
     

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